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3 ORDER-FLOW FACTS. NO THEORY.

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49 minutes ago

3 ORDER-FLOW FACTS. NO THEORY.

πŸ”₯ JPMORGAN β€” $920.2M

Hundreds of thousands of spoof orders.

TACTIC:
FAKE SIZE β†’ FALSE SUPPLY/DEMAND β†’ REAL ORDER FILLS β†’ CANCEL

Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium & Treasuries.

The CFTC found the false liquidity was deliberately used to induce other participants to execute against orders JPM actually wanted filled.

πŸ”₯ TOWER RESEARCH β€” $67.4M

Thousands of spoofing events on CME/CBOT index futures.

TACTIC:

PARTIALLY-HIDDEN GENUINE ORDER
vs.
LARGER, FULLY-VISIBLE SPOOF LIQUIDITY

β†’ visible imbalance
β†’ market reacts
β†’ genuine passive order executes
β†’ spoof side disappears

CFTC-attributed market losses: $32.59M.

πŸ”₯ SUNOCO β€” ENERGY FUTURES

This one is almost a textbook DOM setup:

Small genuine order on Side A

β†’ place 50–100 lot spoof orders on Side B
β†’ manufacture visible pressure
β†’ genuine order gets filled
β†’ cancel the large opposite-side liquidity

Crude Oil. Gasoline. Heating Oil.

$450,000 penalty.

THIS is why raw DOM imbalance is NOT order-flow truth.

The edge is in the sequence:

PLACE β†’ INFLUENCE β†’ FILL β†’ CANCEL β†’ REVERSION

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Niokoz

Niokoz

Trading, research, developpement, Futures, Crytpo, WEB3 ! Market Making, and HFT analysis. META_quant.
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